U.S. Deficit Soars 26% to 7-year High, Fed Expansion Tops $199 Billion, and USD Reverses Negative Trend
October 28, 2019 | FIRESIDE CHARTS
Warning: the latest federal deficit figure may leave you with sticker shock. The deficit surged 26% in fiscal 2019 to hit $984 billion, the highest point since we topped $1 trillion in 2012. This figure, in addition to the earnings that continue to roll in (heavyweights reporting this week include Alphabet, Facebook and Apple), will likely be a topic of conversation when the Fed kicks off their October meeting tomorrow. Analysts appear confident that Wednesday will bring news of another rate cut, and the Fed’s balance sheet continues to climb by billions per week in an unofficial re-ignition of QE. And while any Fed action is likely to have some bearing on the USD, we’re encouraged to see a small uptick from the dollar following its drop from a two-year high on 10/1. Could gold and other commodities soon follow in the dollar’s footsteps?
1. The conversation everyone in Washington has forgotten: Over the last 12 months, our Government spent $1 trillion more than it brought in.
Source: The Chart Store, as of 10/25/19
2. QE RE-reversal!
Source: The Chart Store, as of 10/25/19
3. Duly noted!
Source: Danske Bank, as of 10/28/19
4. Is it becoming “politically” harder for rating agencies to downgrade a fee paying client?
Source: Moody’s Investors Service, as of 4/30/19
5. Have we started a new trend?
Source: The Chart Store, as of 10/25/19
6. If so, will the tailwind for gold and the rest of the commodities get a renewed bid?
Source: The Chart Store, as of 10/25/19
Disclosure: The charts and info-graphics contained in this blog are typically based on data obtained from 3rd parties and are believed to be accurate. The commentary included is the opinion of the author and subject to change at any time. Any reference to specific securities or investments are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended as investment advice nor are they a recommendation to take any action. Individual securities mentioned may be helf in client accounts.