S&P 500 Little-Changed Since Spring, the Buying Climate Index, and Could Chinese Yields Turn Negative?
October 21, 2019 | FIRESIDE CHARTS
Earnings season continues as about a quarter of S&P 500 companies will report Q3 financials this week; we’ll keep it light on charts today as we wait on pins and needles. S&P readings haven’t broken out (one way or the other) more than ~300 points since early spring—could any surprise readings this week push the index outside of that established range? And while September’s disappointing retail figures had us questioning consumer confidence last week, the Bloomberg Weekly Buying Climate Index just hit a record high. Was last month’s slump a false alarm? Even if it was, a record number of Americans are now working multiple jobs. Is sustaining consumer spending and confidence coming at the sake of family and leisure time? Finally, according to Bloomberg, soaring pork prices in China are to thank for their 10-year real yield approaching zero for the first time in seven years and threatening to expand the global total of negative-yielding debt.
1. If it feels like the S&P has just been grinding sideways for six months…
Source: the Chart Store, as of 10/18/19
2. We mentioned in Friday’s blog that September retail sales fell short of expectations and dropped for the first time since February, but Bloomberg’s Weekly Buying Climate Index just reached a record high.
Source: Bloomberg Markets, as of 10/17/19
3. But are we paying for consumer confidence with reduced family time? A record number of Americans are now working multiple jobs.
Source: Deutsche Bank Research, as of 10/21/19
4. Low rates are catching up to China too…
Source: Bloomberg Markets, as of 10/20/19
5. Going green can bring in some green!
Source: WSJ Daily Shot, as of 10/9/19
Disclosure: The charts and info-graphics contained in this blog are typically based on data obtained from 3rd parties and are believed to be accurate. The commentary included is the opinion of the author and subject to change at any time. Any reference to specific securities or investments are for illustrative purposes only and are not intended as investment advice nor are they a recommendation to take any action. Individual securities mentioned may be helf in client accounts.