Warning: the Fed’s recent shopping spree may leave you with sticker shock. They added over $75 billion of assets to their balance sheet last week alone, and plan to continue injecting money into the markets daily through October in an attempt to stabilize rates. Will this and other easing measures be enough to stave off a large-scale slowdown though, when credit expansion has primarily been serving to drive asset prices higher and having a much smaller effect on GDP growth? Finally, according to a Federal Reserve report released on Friday, the ratio of U.S. household net worth to GDP hit an all-time high of 5.3 in Q2. With numbers like that, should we expect to see more Americans heading out on shopping sprees of their own?
1. The need for the Fed to inject short term liquidity has ended QE reversal with a bang!
Source: The Chart Store, as of 9/20/19
2. Are the world’s Central Banks “pushing on a string?”
Source: Stifel, as of 9/23/19
3. Let’s not forget that modern rigs can drill in 2 directions at once, cutting the need in half for the same production. And then their are the DUCS…
Source: WSJ Daily Shot, as of 9/23/19
4. Just enough geopolitical uncertainty and higher rates here at home have been driving the USD higher.
Source: The Chart Store, as of 9/20/19
5. The yield on junk bonds is near the 2017 lows…
Source: The Chart Store, as of 9/20/19
6. The ratio of household net worth to GDP hit an all-time high, largely thanks to the stock market.
Source: WSJ Daily Shot, as of 9/10/19
7. See… management by tweet causes a lot of vol…
Source: WSJ Daily Shot, as of 9/10/19
8. Just ask the cartoonists.
Source: Hedgeye, as of 8/26/19
9. A look at the world’s biggest financial centers:
Source: How Much, as of 9/23/19